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Preds Move On After Series Ouster

   Aside from confirming that the Detroit Red Wings will go with Chris Osgood as the team's playoff starter for the present, the NHL's pundits are focusing on the Nashville Predators' tremendous progress made as a team--and the juicy question that is whether the Predators can afford to re-sign Dan Ellis. The Hockey News's Ken Campbell says that the Predators' "street cred" as a team that's driven by more than the budgetary bottom line depends on whether they re-sign Ellis:


April 21, The Hockey News: Ellis will command a long-term contract worth at least $3 million a season, one would think, and it will require the Predators to swallow hard before making that offer. This is a team, after all, which rewarded Chris Mason with a $3 million deal for his play last season, which was so good that when the Predators were forced to strip-mine their organization last summer, they traded Tomas Vokoun to the Florida Panthers.

Mason didn't exactly prove to be the No. 1 goalie the Predators were seeking and signing Ellis to a similar, if not more lucrative, deal would require a leap of faith by Poile & Co. Not to mention the fact if Nashville was to pay Ellis on the same level as Mason, it'd be spending a total of $6 million on goaltenders. (Would they be overpaid in that case? Of course they would, because all goalies in the NHL are overpaid if you apply the laws of supply and demand. But hey, it's the going rate.)

That move would hardly put the Predators in a class by themselves, though. At least 10 teams will be using up $6 million or more in cap space on goalies next season and, after all, this is a team that is willing to give up $4.5 million in cap room to David Legwand, who is essentially a third-line center.

What the Predators have in Ellis is a very good goalie who is about to enter his prime. And while - with the exception of guys such as Dominik Hasek and Martin Brodeur - fans generally don't pay good money to watch goalies stop pucks, they do pay to watch teams win. And with Ellis in their net, the Preds give themselves the best chance to do that.

Should Ellis hit the UFA market July 1, there will be no shortage of suitors. It will be a shock if the Ottawa Senators don't think long and hard about Ellis, and the Red Wings - who will be looking for goaltending next season - just had a front-row seat for Ellis's playoff show. The Atlanta Thrashers and possibly the Los Angeles Kings will likely be looking at him, as will the Washington Capitals and Colorado Avalanche if their No. 1 goalies bolt for other teams.

Signing Ellis long-term won't guarantee the Predators any sustained playoff success or the future of the franchise in Nashville, but what it will do is show its fans and the rest of the NHL it will not allow other teams to pick its carcass the way they did last summer.

The Tennessean's John Glennon says that the Ellis situation is the Predators' most pressing off-season question:

April 21, Tennessean: This promises to be one of the most challenging situations facing the Predators. Dan Ellis came out of nowhere to capture the starter's job and wound up leading the league in save percentage. He was especially strong down the stretch and in the playoffs, showing an ability to elevate his game under pressure.

Ellis could become an unrestricted free agent if he's not re-signed by the end of June, and it would be hard to believe the Predators would just let him walk after this season's performance.

But there are complications. Chris Mason is under contract for the next two seasons and, unlike in the NFL, NHL teams can't just cut players and stop paying them. In addition, talented prospect Pekka Rinne appears ready for the NHL, and he won't be able to be sent down to Milwaukee without clearing waivers next season.

So assuming the Predators do re-sign Ellis -- and figuring out what kind of contract he'd get based on one great year would be another challenge -- would the Predators try to trade Mason or even consider buying out his contract?

Might they start next season with three goalies on the roster? There doesn't appear to be a simple solution.

The Winnipeg Sun's Ken Wiebe looked at the Ellis situation from another angle, defending the "long bomb" goal he gave up to Nicklas Lidstrom, which he feels should not become the Predators' goalie's lasting legacy:

April 21, Slam Sports: Dan Ellis has been the protagonist in many highlight packages during the first-round series between the Nashville Predators and Detroit Red Wings. Make no mistake, Ellis is the main -- if not the only -- reason the Predators forced the series with the top-ranked Red Wings to six games.

Unfortunately for the man who transformed from a minor league journeyman to a bona fide No. 1 goalie in the NHL this season, one of the few mistakes he made in the series will be shown over and over again. Nightly sports, morning sports, plays of the week, blooper sets and on Youtube.
...
Lidstrom carried the puck back and unleashed his secret weapon from just beyond centre. This wasn't the dreaded knuckle-puck you may have seen during Disney's Might Ducks movies, no it was even more powerful and came in the form of a sharp dropping slapper that took one bounce off the ice and went straight to the shelf over a fallen Ellis.

Now it's easy to say that Ellis should have taken a few strides out of his crease to catch or block the disc before it bounced. That may be true, but I'd like to see Lidstrom take the same shot in a game situation and make it bounce the same way. This was a 1-in-10 chance, at best.

This was simply an unlucky bounce, but that unfortunate turn of events turned into the game-winning goal and the Preds were unable to recover, losing 3-0 before their home crowd. Don't think for a second that Ellis cost his team the series. It was a lack of production from the top-end talent that was the difference.

The only parts of Wiebe's argument I agree with are two simple points: Lidstrom's well-known for his ability to put pucks off the back boards to give his forwards "fortunate bounces," and he's taken more than a few flutterball shots from centre that have nearly gone in. He received a little bit of "puck luck," but the shot was calculated and practiced. Second, regarding the series? The biggest reason the Red Wings won is because they outworked the Predators, and were able to overcome sustained production from the "top-end talent" on the Predators' blueline.

Trotz, Staff Get New Contracts

   Predators coach Barry Trotz and his staff received contract extensions after an unexpected fourth straight trip to the playoffs in what began as a shaky season.

The extensions for Trotz, associate coach Brent Peterson, assistant coach Peter Horachek and goaltending coach Mitch Korn were announced Tuesday by David Poile, Nashville's president of hockey operations and general manager.

The previous contract for Trotz, the expansion franchise's only coach, expired at the end of the season. Terms of the deal were not announced.

Trotz guided the Predators to the playoffs this season despite a chaotic year in which the franchise survived the threat of relocation, a botched sale, new owners, a long negotiation on their arena lease and the shedding of top players. He has coached all 738 regular-season games in the Predators' 10 years, going 324-308-106.

Nashville has yet to get past the first round of the postseason or win any road playoff games, falling in six games to the Detroit Red Wings in this year's Western Conference quarterfinals.

"Despite much adversity of the past year, the team never used that adversity as an excuse — a tribute to the efforts of the coaching staff," Poile said in a statement. "I am pleased that this group will remain together in our pursuit of a Stanley Cup for Nashville."

Just making the playoffs this season was considered a success.

Last year, the team let top scorer Paul Kariya leave for St. Louis as a free agent, traded away goalie Tomas Vokoun along with captain Kimmo Timonen and forward Scott Hartnell. They managed to make up for the lost production, becoming only one of seven teams to make the playoffs in each of the last four seasons.

The contract extension also keeps Trotz as the second most-tenured coach in the NHL with his current team. The only coach with a longer active tenure with one team is Buffalo's Lindy Ruff, who has been with the Sabres since 1997.

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J. P. Dumont

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Evaluating The Season

   There was enough disappointment to go around, but the Predators could leave their dressing room Sunday afternoon with their heads held high.

Few teams have undergone the distractions that this team dealt with this season. It started with losing a number of all-star players in the summer as the team became lean and mean financially. There was a potential franchise move and then an ownership shift. Mix in a number of injuries, and it was a recipe for disaster.

But this team was filled with character and resolve and held on to earn the No. 8 playoff spot. The Predators weren’t blown away by the top-seeded Detroit Red Wings, but they still lost in the quarterfinals for the fourth straight time.

They also still have not won a playoff game on the road. They have to remedy both of those ills next season if the franchise is going to move forward.

Red Wings 3, Predators 0:   The Red Wings showed the Predators they could elevate their game to an even higher level. It was evident that the Predators, beaten and battered physically, had nothing more to give.

After an impressive 10 minutes to start the game, the Predators found themselves stymied the rest of the way Sunday afternoon in front of a sellout crowd at the Sommet Center. The Red Wings defense kept them out of their zone and held them to only 20 shots. The Predators made their share of hits, but they were not able to generate enough offense to turn the tide.

Once again G Dan Ellis was the stalwart of the team, turning back 40 of 42 shots.

Notes, Quotes

• The loss marked the fourth straight time the Predators have ended their quarterfinals series on home ice. They have lost twice to the Red Wings in Game 6 and twice to the San Jose Sharks in Game 5.

• The Predators outhit Detroit 153 to 114.

• The Predators and Red Wings have played 12 playoff games against each other. Nine have been determined by two goals or fewer.

Quote To Note:   “After the first eight games of the season we were picked as the favorite to get the overall first draft pick this summer. This was a story book season. Too bad the story ended in the middle of the book.”—C Scott Nichol

Roster Report

Goaltenders:   Dan Ellis, Chris Mason

Defensemen:   Marek Zidlicky, Dan Hamhuis, Greg Zanon, Shea Weber, Ryan Suter, Greg de Vries

First Line:   Jan Hlavac, David Legwand, J.P. Dumont

Second Line:   Martin Erat, Radek Bonk, Alexander Radulov

Third Line:   Vernon Fiddler, Scott Nichol, Jordin Tootoo

Fourth Line:   Darcy Hordichuk, Jerred Smithson, Rich Peverley

Player Notes:  

• It was officially announced before Sunday’s game that C Jason Arnott had sustained a concussion. It was unclear if the concussion occurred after he was knocked into the boards by teammate Alexander Radulov in Game 3 or if it was the result of being hit in the head by a puck in Game 4.

• C David Legwand, who missed Game 5, was back on the ice for Game 6 despite his foot injury. C Scott Nichol, who broke his left thumb in Game 1 and required surgery, also was back for Game 6.

• G Dan Ellis made 225 saves in the six playoff games, winning two. He made 92 saves in the final two games.

• Healthy scratches were D Kevin Klein, D Ville Koistinen and RW Brandon Bochenski.

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   Nashville Predators President of Hockey Operations/General Manager David Poile announced today that the team has reassigned forward Rich Peverley to the Milwaukee Admirals of the American Hockey League.

Peverely played in 33 games for the Predators during the regular season, scoring five goals and 10 points. He also appeared in all six of the team's playoff games, registering a pair of assists. The Guelph, ON native posted 54 points (14g-40a) in just 45 games for the Admirals this season and was selected to play in the 2008 AHL All-Star Classic.

Peverley will look to be in the Admirals line-up when the team hits the ice against Chicago at the Bradley Center for game four of their West Division Semifinal series on Wednesday, April 23rd at 7:00 pm.

 
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